Challenges and choices for europe global trends to 2030

GLOBAL TRENDS TO 2030CHALLENGES ANDCHOICES FOREUROPEApril 2019AN INTER-INSTITUTIONALEU PROJECTFlorence GaubFlorence Gaub is the Deputy Director of the European Union Institute for Security Studies(EUISS) and is the lead author of this ESPAS report Global Trends to 2030: Challenges andChoices for Europe. In addition to overseeing the EUISS' research activities, Florence workson strategic foresight, geopolitics as well as the Middle East and North Africa. Florenceis widely published, and her two latest publications include The Cauldron: NATOs Libyacampaign and Guardians of the Arab State: Why militaries intervene in politics.Previously employed at NATO Defence College, she was educated at Munich University,SciencesPo, the Sorbonne, and holds a PhD from Humboldt University Berlin.2GLOBAL TRENDS TO 2030CHALLENGES AND CHOICES FOR EUROPETABLE OF CONTENTSForeword: the future is now2Introduction: between prediction and foresight4Welcome to 2030: the mega-trends7We are hotter8We are more, but where?9We live in cities12We continue to grow economically13We need more energy17We are highly connected18We are poly-nodal19On the road to the future: the catalysts22Trade will increase23Food and water will have to be watched24Warfare will change25Terrorism will remain27Technology will sprint ahead28People will move29Populists will try31Time to decide: the game-changers33How do we save the ...


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